Category Archives: Office of Economic Analysis (OEA)

For Oregon’s Economy, Expansive Protections for the Internet Are a Boon. Less So for Victims of Revenge Porn.

Ron Wyden built the internet because he worried about the northern spotted owl. Source: For Oregon’s Economy, Expansive Protections for the Internet Are a Boon. Less So for Victims of Revenge Porn.

Potpourri Friday: Age Distribution, Portland, and Timber | Oregon Office of Economic Analysis

Three quick charts this week on items I’ve been working on and being asked about during presentations. First, an updated look at the age distribution in Oregon. Obviously there is variation within these groups, but the combination of the age distribution itself plus migration patterns underpins our previous look at future economic growth across the state. […]
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Whoops! State Economist Corrects Error, Says Californians Are No Longer Moving to the Oregon Coast at Higher Rates than Most Other New Arrivals

“Since 2013, the share of Californians moving to the coast is what you would expect, or lower,” Lehner said, “given the size of the population.” On Thursday, Lehner said his study wasn’t accurate. He corrected the data, saying Californians did disproportionately move to the coast, but that trend ended in 2012. Source: Whoops! State Economist […]
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Trade with China key to Oregon economy

Forecasters see slowing of growth, greater threat from tariffs if trade wars continue or escalate. The global, national, state and regional economies are slowing. But there is no immediate danger of a recession unless President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping fail to at least agree to keep talking about trade at the G20 […]
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Strong Oregon economy teetering on tariff brink

‘ ‘Expansions do not turn into recessions because of old age, but because of bad behavior in the economy.’ The global, national, state and regional economies are slowing. But there is no immediate danger of a recession unless President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping fail to at least agree to keep talking about […]
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Report: Oregon Will See More Deaths Than Births In Next Decade

The state will become increasingly reliant on migration as deaths outnumber births in the coming years. It will mark the first time in the state’s history that the death rate outpaces the birth rate. Source: Report: Oregon Will See More Deaths Than Births In Next Decade

Tax collections spike, Oregon economists project $1.4 billion kicker

Oregonians are due a record $1.4 billion in kicker payments in 2020, according to a state revenue forecast released Wednesday morning. Speaking to the Oregon Legislature’s Revenue Committee, State Economist Mark McMullen said the 2018 federal tax reform prompted Oregonians to shift income to 2018, driving up 2019 tax collections to a level he described […]
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Biggest kicker in state history expected

Oregonians are in line for a big personal income tax credit, in the form of Oregon’s unique “kicker” rebate, when they file their taxes in 2020. That’s because the state has collected far more money over the past two years than was expected, state economists Mark McMullen and Josh Lehner said Wednesday. Personal income tax […]
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Oregonians will see largest “kicker” tax rebate in state history in 2020

Oregonians are in line for a big personal income tax credit, in the form of Oregon’s unique “kicker” rebate, when they file their taxes in 2020. That’s because the state has collected far more money over the past two years than was expected, state economists Mark McMullen and Josh Lehner said Wednesday, May 15. Source: […]
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Escalating trade war may be widely felt in Oregon

Certain Northwest industries, from hazelnuts to lasers, are already feeling a profound effect. Oregon is among the nation’s most trade-dependent states, and China is the state’s largest trading partner by far. And yet the tariffs piling up amid President Donald Trump’s trade war with China have done little to slow Oregon’s historic economy expansion. The […]
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